Quinnipiac Poll

PollThere is a recent poll from Quinnipiac University that’s trying to scare Tea Partiers into not running for office. They say that Republicans have the advantage (44% to 39%) over democrats in the next election unless there’s a Tea Party candidate. Then the democrats win with 36%, the Republican would get 25%, and the Tea Party would get 15%.

Frankly, it doesn’t matter who’s in office as long as they do the right things (which is usually nothing). But you still have to think practically. If, and it’s a big if, a Tea Party candidate could cost the Republican candidate the victory and let a democrat assume office, then there’s only one acceptable solution: the Republican should drop out of the race. Or be a Republican and a Tea Partier, so that they’re splitting their own vote. It doesn’t matter which. In any case, the same candidate will need to pull both Republican and Tea Party voters.

Here’s some data from the poll:

  • 13% of Americans consider themselves part of the Tea Party movement. Of these:
    • 74% are Republicans or independent voters leaning Republican
    • 55% are women (45% men)
    • 88% are white
    • 77% voted for Sen. John McCain in 2008 (15% for Obama)
    • 72% have a favorable opinion of Sarah Palin
    • 83% think that the government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals
    • 58% say that you can hardly ever trust the government to do what is right
    • 61% have a high school diploma and some college, but no degree

To appeal to these guys, you need to be relatable to them. So the ideal candidate would be a white Republican (or Republican leaning) woman with a high school diploma, but who wasn’t a brainiac in college. She needs to have a basic distrust in government, but still want to be a part of it (maybe to work to destroy it from the inside). And once elected, she should want to keep the government from doing anything. She should have strongly supported McCain/Palin and worked against Obama/Ayers. Basically, she should be Sarah Palin.

The problem is that there’s only one Sarah, and that’s not the 150 we need to get a veto-overriding Republican majority in the House. It’s almost enough to make me reconsider my opposition to human cloning.


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